Category
Financial Services
Built for financial services teams deciding which markets are gaining consumers who can pay for insurance and advice, where those consumers are, and what they can afford.
COICOP 12.4/.5/.6/.7
Start the shortlist where the category is bought.
Every country to 2050, all 9,400+ cities to 2040. One model, one shared scale for a market and a city.
The category down to its 8 lines. Each with its own size, growth and cohort, never one blended average.
Every figure by age band and spending tier. A target cohort is only a filter on the same numbers.
Priced against what each market can afford. The share of a city that can buy at your price, and when.
USD 6.89T
Spending in 2026
USD 11.87T
Spending in 2036
+USD 4.99T
Added by 2036
5.60%
Annual growth to 2036
USD 844
Per person a year
9.7%
Share of the global wallet
nominal USD, current prices
Where the category is bought
See the data
| City | Country | 2026 (USD bn) | 2036 (USD bn) | Annual growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City | United States | 178.1 | 268.6 | 4.19 |
| Los Angeles | United States | 150.2 | 245.0 | 5.02 |
| San Francisco | United States | 96.2 | 154.8 | 4.87 |
| Tokyo | Japan | 86.8 | 130.4 | 4.16 |
| Miami | United States | 67.8 | 107.2 | 4.69 |
| Chicago | United States | 56.7 | 82.6 | 3.84 |
| Mexico City | Mexico | 54.4 | 87.4 | 4.86 |
| Washington | United States | 45.6 | 73.7 | 4.92 |
| London | United Kingdom | 40.3 | 69.5 | 5.61 |
| Seoul | South Korea | 39.1 | 70.2 | 6.03 |
| Paris | France | 37.5 | 55.2 | 3.93 |
| Seattle | United States | 36.6 | 61.7 | 5.36 |
| Singapore | Singapore | 36.5 | 64.4 | 5.85 |
| Houston | United States | 34.5 | 62.3 | 6.09 |
| Denver | United States | 32.9 | 53.6 | 5.00 |
| Osaka | Japan | 30.0 | 42.9 | 3.63 |
| Boston | United States | 30.0 | 44.5 | 4.03 |
| Phoenix | United States | 26.9 | 45.8 | 5.48 |
| Dallas | United States | 25.3 | 40.2 | 4.73 |
| San Diego | United States | 25.2 | 43.0 | 5.49 |
Time entry to the year a city reaches your price.
Annual consumer spending on financial services and other services, 2000 to 2040.
- New York City: USD 178bn in 2026
- Los Angeles: USD 150bn in 2026
- San Francisco: USD 96bn in 2026
- Tokyo: USD 87bn in 2026
- Miami: USD 68bn in 2026
See the data
| City | Country code | 2026 (USD bn) |
|---|---|---|
| New York City | USA | 178.1 |
| Los Angeles | USA | 150.2 |
| San Francisco | USA | 96.2 |
| Tokyo | JPN | 86.8 |
| Miami | USA | 67.8 |
Aim the range at the cohort that is arriving.
By spending tier
- Rich: 46.4% of spending in 2026, 57.4% of the spending added by 2036
- Upper middle: 15.7% of spending in 2026, 15.2% of the spending added by 2036
- Core middle: 22.5% of spending in 2026, 18.1% of the spending added by 2036
- Lower middle: 13.2% of spending in 2026, 9.2% of the spending added by 2036
- Poor: 2.3% of spending in 2026, 0.2% of the spending added by 2036
By age band
- 65 and over: 23.7% of spending in 2026, 32.3% of the spending added by 2036
- 45-65: 29.3% of spending in 2026, 27.8% of the spending added by 2036
- 30-45: 19.2% of spending in 2026, 16.3% of the spending added by 2036
- 15-30: 16.4% of spending in 2026, 14.8% of the spending added by 2036
- 0-15: 11.5% of spending in 2026, 8.9% of the spending added by 2036
See the data
| Cohort | Dimension | 2026 spending (%) | Added by 2036 (%) | Annual growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poor | Spending tier | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.67 |
| Lower middle | Spending tier | 13.2 | 9.2 | 4.17 |
| Core middle | Spending tier | 22.5 | 18.1 | 4.69 |
| Upper middle | Spending tier | 15.7 | 15.2 | 5.46 |
| Rich | Spending tier | 46.4 | 57.4 | 6.60 |
| 0-15 | Age band | 11.5 | 8.9 | 4.54 |
| 15-30 | Age band | 16.4 | 14.8 | 5.15 |
| 30-45 | Age band | 19.2 | 16.3 | 4.91 |
| 45-65 | Age band | 29.3 | 27.8 | 5.37 |
| 65 and over | Age band | 23.7 | 32.3 | 7.11 |
Weight the portfolio to the lines that are moving.
Area is spending in 2026. USD 6.89T across 8 published lines of the model.
Financial services
USD 2.83T · 41.1%
Social protection
USD 1.21T · 17.6%
Other services
USD 1.05T · 15.2%
Life insurance
USD 547bn · 7.9%
Insurance connected with transport
USD 506bn · 7.3%
Insurance connected with the dwelling
USD 376bn · 5.5%
USD 277bn
- Insurance connected with healthUSD 277bn
- Other insuranceUSD 92bn
Financial services
USD 2.83T · 41.1%
Social protection
USD 1.21T · 17.6%
Other services
USD 1.05T · 15.2%
Life insurance
USD 547bn · 7.9%
Insurance connected with transport
USD 506bn · 7.3%
Insurance connected with the dwelling
USD 376bn · 5.5%
Insurance connected with health
USD 277bn · 4.0%
Other insurance
USD 92bn · 1.3%
See the data
| Category line | 2026 (USD bn) | Share of plotted spending (%) | Annual growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial services | 2831.6 | 41.1 | 5.42 |
| Social protection | 1213.1 | 17.6 | 5.00 |
| Other services | 1045.7 | 15.2 | 6.71 |
| Life insurance | 546.8 | 7.9 | 6.27 |
| Insurance connected with transport | 505.8 | 7.3 | 5.08 |
| Insurance connected with the dwelling | 376.2 | 5.5 | 5.14 |
| Insurance connected with health | 276.9 | 4.0 | 5.58 |
| Other insurance | 92.0 | 1.3 | 6.00 |
Five decisions a financial services team can settle with this data.
01
Market entry and prioritisation
The cities holding the most financial services spending today are not the ones adding it fastest. Across the forty largest markets in the model the spread runs from 3.0% a year to 11.5%, which is the difference between a market that transforms by 2036 and one that barely moves. We rank every city on the spending that is forming rather than the spending already there.
02
Pricing and affordability
Spending on financial services and other services by rich consumers compounds at 6.60% a year, against 0.67% for the poorest. A cheaper range can hold its volume and still be defending a shrinking share of the growth, because the growth is not sitting where the volume is. We map spending power against your own price range in every market you sell in.
03
Category and portfolio strategy
Inside the category, other services compounds at 6.71% a year while social protection manages 5.00%. Those are two different shelf decisions inside one category averaging 5.60%, and the average is what most portfolio reviews are still built on.
04
Segmentation and targeting
Spending on financial services and other services by the over-65s compounds at 7.11% a year, against 4.54% for the under-15s. In New York City the over-65s already hold 20% of the category. A pipeline aimed at the wrong life stage is chasing the slower half of the market, and the gap widens every year to 2036.
05
Demand forecasting and sizing
The category adds $4.99 trillion between 2026 and 2036, and none of it arrives evenly. A capacity decision taken now rests on the market that will exist in ten years rather than the one visible today. We project every market and every year to 2050.
FAQ
Questions a financial services team asks us.
Consumers spend $6.89 trillion on financial services and other services in 2026, which is 9.7% of all their spending. The market grows 5.60% a year in current dollars and reaches $11.87 trillion by 2036. Between those two years it adds $4.99 trillion.
The fastest-growing subcategory is other services at 6.71% a year and the slowest is social protection at 5.00%. The category as a whole grows 5.60% a year. The two largest subcategories are financial services at $2.83 trillion and social protection at $1.21 trillion. Both grow more slowly than other services.
New York City spends the most at $178bn a year, followed by Los Angeles at $150bn and San Francisco at $96bn. We estimate the category for all 9,400+ cities in every year to 2040. The top ten of the 252 cities on this page's map hold 34% of the spending it shows.
Among the largest city markets, New Delhi grows fastest at 11.5% a year and Moscow slowest at 3.0%. The cities adding the most spending by 2036 make a different list, led by Los Angeles at $95bn, New York City at $90bn and San Francisco at $59bn.
Yes, every market and city splits the category into five age bands and five spending tiers. Sizing the cohort you target means filtering those same figures, with nothing extra to commission. Sarasota has the oldest profile, with 42% of its spending from the over-65s. San Rafael is the most affluent, with 99% from its richest spending tier.
We forecast every country, subcategory and cohort each year to 2050, and every city to 2040. Because one model produces all of them, a market and a city read on the same scale. The method is published and peer reviewed. Our page on how we measure spending sets it out. The average person spends $844 a year on financial services and other services today.
Download our insights on
Financial Services
A concise slide deck of the key financial services spending trends across 194 countries and 9,400+ cities, with national forecasts to 2050 and city forecasts to 2040.
Get the deck
Instant downloadLet's talk through your market question.
Tell us the decision you are trying to make, and we will show you the forecasts that bear on it.
