Find demand before it shows up in the data.
Every engagement starts from a decision someone has to make, and works back to the number that settles it. The same forecasts sit behind all of them: 194 countries to 2050, more than 9,400 cities to 2040, and 200+ categories.
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Five decisions we help you get right.
Market entry & prioritisation
Go where the consumers are forming
We rank every market to 2050 and every city to 2040 by the consumers you sell to, and how fast that base grows, so you expand where demand is forming.
Informs
Pricing & affordability
Price to what each market can afford
We map spending power in every market against your price points, so you set each price to what that market can pay.
Informs
Category & portfolio strategy
Find the growth a flat average hides
We split one category number into hundreds of market, age and income groups, so you can move investment to the groups that are growing.
Informs
Segmentation & targeting
Separate the consumers worth chasing
We split each market by generation, income and spending group, so you can aim at the cohort that carries your category.
Informs
Demand forecasting & sizing
Size the market that does not exist yet
We project the consumers above your affordability threshold, every market, every year to 2050, so you can size tomorrow’s addressable market with the same rigour as today’s.
Informs
Market entry & prioritisation
Go where the consumers are forming
We rank every market to 2050 and every city to 2040 by the consumers you sell to, and how fast that base grows, so you expand where demand is forming.
Informs
Pricing & affordability
Price to what each market can afford
We map spending power in every market against your price points, so you set each price to what that market can pay.
Informs
Category & portfolio strategy
Find the growth a flat average hides
We split one category number into hundreds of market, age and income groups, so you can move investment to the groups that are growing.
Informs
Segmentation & targeting
Separate the consumers worth chasing
We split each market by generation, income and spending group, so you can aim at the cohort that carries your category.
Informs
Demand forecasting & sizing
Size the market that does not exist yet
We project the consumers above your affordability threshold, every market, every year to 2050, so you can size tomorrow’s addressable market with the same rigour as today’s.
Informs
Cut the model any way the decision needs.
From a global model to your decision.
An illustrative engagement: a beauty brand deciding where to launch premium skincare next.
Illustrative example
The model
Every market on one peer-reviewed model: 194 countries and more than 9,400 cities, ranked by consumer spending and its growth.
Your question
We point the model at your product: a category, a price, a market.
The decision
You get the answer as a deliverable your team can act on, such as pricing scenarios for each market.
Forward-looking, granular and consistent.
See the data
| Year | Consumer class (billion) |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.668 |
| 2027 | 4.791 |
| 2028 | 4.914 |
| 2029 | 5.037 |
| 2030 | 5.158 |
| 2031 | 5.28 |
| 2032 | 5.401 |
| 2033 | 5.521 |
| 2034 | 5.639 |
| 2035 | 5.756 |
| 2036 | 5.869 |
| 2037 | 5.98 |
| 2038 | 6.09 |
| 2039 | 6.199 |
| 2040 | 6.309 |
| 2041 | 6.42 |
| 2042 | 6.529 |
| 2043 | 6.629 |
| 2044 | 6.713 |
| 2045 | 6.774 |
| 2046 | 6.807 |
| 2047 | 6.832 |
| 2048 | 6.878 |
| 2049 | 6.979 |
| 2050 | 7.168 |
Forward-looking
Demand before it arrives
Because every consumer is placed and then forecast each year to 2050, you can see where demand is forming long before it reaches a sales report, and decide where to be ready for it ahead of the competition.
Modelled to 2050, every year
See the data
| Market | Consumer-class share (%) |
|---|---|
| Indonesia | 47 |
| Jakarta | 99 |
| West Sulawesi | 9 |
Granular
An average hides consumers
National figures bury the people who matter most to a strategy: the affluent households inside a lower-income country, the squeezed ones inside a wealthy one. Indonesia’s figure, 47% of its people in the consumer class, is an average of provinces that run from 99% in Jakarta to 9% in West Sulawesi: two different markets inside one country number.
200 categories · 9,400+ cities
See the full story in the insights gallery
Consistent
Apply consistent definitions across more than 9,400 cities
One harmonized city framework worldwide, so London, Lagos and Ho Chi Minh City are measured the same way, and comparable side by side. The same method runs across every country, and Homi Kharas's 2010 forecast of the middle class came within a few percent of what happened.
16 years of validated forecasts
Read the paper →Decisions it has settled.
Three clients, three questions, and what each one changed.
Where to open
more stores in one city
A coffee chain found a city with room for 24 more stores, and now opens where the gaps are biggest.
Read the caseWhat to charge
of adults in its poorest market who could afford the price
An app marketplace priced market by market: 8% of adults in its poorest market could afford one global price, 78% a local one.
Read the caseWho to target
Gen Z in the brand's plan
An oral care brand ranked age groups on spending growth, and Gen Z went from last in its plan to first.
Read the caseSoft drinks
Scenario modelling
Consumer spend scenarios under shocks like a sugar tax or a recession, by country.
Real estate
City footprint
Based on consumers and category spend, are you present in the right cities?
Questions clients bring us.
Which cities should we open in next?
City rankings02Where is our category's growth hiding?
Category data03Which consumers will carry the next decade?
Generations04What price can each market actually bear?
Affordability by city05How big is the addressable market by 2036?
Try it in the free demo06Is premiumisation still winning in the US?
North America dataFour ways to work with us
Pick the entry point that fits how your team makes decisions.
See how every figure is built.
Four steps from household survey to forecast, and four forecasts checked against what happened.
Credentials deck
Get the World Data Lab credentials deck
A concise overview of who we are, what we do, and how our data powers decisions for governments, foundations and Fortune 500 clients.
- Who we are and what we build
- The methodology and dataset in brief
- Selected client work across sectors
- Ways to engage - from platform to bespoke
Let's talk through your market question.
Tell us the decision you are trying to make, and we will show you the forecasts that bear on it.
