Category
Education
Built for education teams deciding where families are paying for schooling themselves, how fast that is growing, and which age bands it is aimed at.
COICOP 10
Start the shortlist where the category is bought.
Every country to 2050, all 9,400+ cities to 2040. One model, one shared scale for a market and a city.
The category down to its 5 lines. Each with its own size, growth and cohort, never one blended average.
Every figure by age band and spending tier. A target cohort is only a filter on the same numbers.
Priced against what each market can afford. The share of a city that can buy at your price, and when.
USD 1.86T
Spending in 2026
USD 3.17T
Spending in 2036
+USD 1.30T
Added by 2036
5.45%
Annual growth to 2036
USD 228
Per person a year
2.6%
Share of the global wallet
nominal USD, current prices
Where the category is bought
See the data
| City | Country | 2026 (USD bn) | 2036 (USD bn) | Annual growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul | South Korea | 22.7 | 33.4 | 3.94 |
| New York City | United States | 21.4 | 30.1 | 3.46 |
| Shanghai | China | 20.2 | 30.1 | 4.06 |
| Los Angeles | United States | 18.1 | 27.4 | 4.25 |
| Beijing | China | 16.1 | 29.6 | 6.24 |
| Tokyo | Japan | 13.6 | 19.5 | 3.62 |
| Guangzhou | China | 12.4 | 18.4 | 4.09 |
| Jakarta | Indonesia | 12.1 | 26.3 | 8.08 |
| London | United Kingdom | 11.9 | 19.1 | 4.81 |
| San Francisco | United States | 11.3 | 16.9 | 4.12 |
| Suzhou | China | 10.7 | 19.5 | 6.17 |
| Dubai | United Arab Emirates | 9.7 | 17.5 | 6.16 |
| Miami | United States | 8.0 | 11.8 | 3.95 |
| Nanjing | China | 7.7 | 14.7 | 6.72 |
| Chicago | United States | 7.2 | 9.8 | 3.14 |
| Sydney | Australia | 6.9 | 10.1 | 3.90 |
| New Delhi | India | 6.8 | 18.3 | 10.38 |
| Singapore | Singapore | 6.8 | 9.8 | 3.73 |
| Manila | Philippines | 6.7 | 15.5 | 8.75 |
| Melbourne | Australia | 6.5 | 9.6 | 3.96 |
Time entry to the year a city reaches your price.
Annual consumer spending on education, 2000 to 2040.
- Seoul: USD 23bn in 2026
- New York City: USD 21bn in 2026
- Shanghai: USD 20bn in 2026
- Los Angeles: USD 18bn in 2026
- Beijing: USD 16bn in 2026
See the data
| City | Country code | 2026 (USD bn) |
|---|---|---|
| Seoul | KOR | 22.7 |
| New York City | USA | 21.4 |
| Shanghai | CHN | 20.2 |
| Los Angeles | USA | 18.0 |
| Beijing | CHN | 16.1 |
Aim the range at the cohort that is arriving.
By spending tier
- Rich: 25.1% of spending in 2026, 39.5% of the spending added by 2036
- Upper middle: 12.8% of spending in 2026, 16.5% of the spending added by 2036
- Core middle: 25.1% of spending in 2026, 26.9% of the spending added by 2036
- Lower middle: 29.9% of spending in 2026, 17.5% of the spending added by 2036
- Poor: 7.0% of spending in 2026, -0.4% of the spending added by 2036
By age band
- 65 and over: 11.2% of spending in 2026, 19.0% of the spending added by 2036
- 45-65: 28.3% of spending in 2026, 29.8% of the spending added by 2036
- 30-45: 17.6% of spending in 2026, 14.3% of the spending added by 2036
- 15-30: 26.2% of spending in 2026, 26.5% of the spending added by 2036
- 0-15: 16.6% of spending in 2026, 10.4% of the spending added by 2036
See the data
| Cohort | Dimension | 2026 spending (%) | Added by 2036 (%) | Annual growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poor | Spending tier | 7.0 | -0.4 | -0.40 |
| Lower middle | Spending tier | 29.9 | 17.5 | 3.49 |
| Core middle | Spending tier | 25.1 | 26.9 | 5.74 |
| Upper middle | Spending tier | 12.8 | 16.5 | 6.62 |
| Rich | Spending tier | 25.1 | 39.5 | 7.70 |
| 0-15 | Age band | 16.6 | 10.4 | 3.70 |
| 15-30 | Age band | 26.2 | 26.5 | 5.50 |
| 30-45 | Age band | 17.6 | 14.3 | 4.58 |
| 45-65 | Age band | 28.3 | 29.8 | 5.67 |
| 65 and over | Age band | 11.2 | 19.0 | 8.11 |
Weight the portfolio to the lines that are moving.
Area is spending in 2026. USD 1.86T across 5 published lines of the model.
Tertiary education
USD 875bn · 46.9%
Pre-primary and primary education
USD 385bn · 20.7%
Other education
USD 336bn · 18.0%
Secondary education
USD 209bn · 11.2%
USD 59bn
- Post-secondary non-tertiary educationUSD 59bn
Tertiary education
USD 875bn · 46.9%
Pre-primary and primary education
USD 385bn · 20.7%
Other education
USD 336bn · 18.0%
Secondary education
USD 209bn · 11.2%
Post-secondary non-tertiary education
USD 59bn · 3.1%
See the data
| Category line | 2026 (USD bn) | Share of plotted spending (%) | Annual growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tertiary education | 874.8 | 46.9 | 5.47 |
| Pre-primary and primary education | 385.0 | 20.7 | 5.59 |
| Other education | 335.8 | 18.0 | 5.32 |
| Secondary education | 209.3 | 11.2 | 5.66 |
| Post-secondary non-tertiary education | 58.6 | 3.1 | 4.10 |
Five decisions a education team can settle with this data.
01
Market entry and prioritisation
The cities holding the most education spending today are not the ones adding it fastest. Across the forty largest markets in the model the spread runs from 3.1% a year to 10.4%, which is the difference between a market that transforms by 2036 and one that barely moves. We rank every city on the spending that is forming rather than the spending already there.
02
Pricing and affordability
Spending on education by rich consumers compounds at 7.70% a year, against -0.40% for the poorest. A cheaper range can hold its volume and still be defending a shrinking share of the growth, because the growth is not sitting where the volume is. We map spending power against your own price range in every market you sell in.
03
Category and portfolio strategy
Inside the category, secondary education compounds at 5.66% a year while post-secondary non-tertiary education manages 4.10%. Those are two different shelf decisions inside one category averaging 5.45%, and the average is what most portfolio reviews are still built on.
04
Segmentation and targeting
Spending on education by the over-65s compounds at 8.11% a year, against 3.70% for the under-15s. In Seoul the over-65s already hold 13% of the category. A pipeline aimed at the wrong life stage is chasing the slower half of the market, and the gap widens every year to 2036.
05
Demand forecasting and sizing
The category adds $1.30 trillion between 2026 and 2036, and none of it arrives evenly. A capacity decision taken now rests on the market that will exist in ten years rather than the one visible today. We project every market and every year to 2050.
Related categories
Explore adjacent spending
FAQ
Questions a education team asks us.
Consumers spend $1.86 trillion on education in 2026, which is 2.6% of all their spending. The market grows 5.45% a year in current dollars and reaches $3.17 trillion by 2036. Between those two years it adds $1.30 trillion.
The fastest-growing subcategory is secondary education at 5.66% a year and the slowest is post-secondary non-tertiary education at 4.10%. The category as a whole grows 5.45% a year. The two largest subcategories are tertiary education at $875bn and pre-primary and primary education at $385bn. Both grow more slowly than secondary education.
Seoul spends the most at $23bn a year, followed by New York City at $21bn and Shanghai at $20bn. We estimate the category for all 9,400+ cities in every year to 2040. The top ten of the 253 cities on this page's map hold 26% of the spending it shows.
Among the largest city markets, New Delhi grows fastest at 10.4% a year and Osaka slowest at 3.1%. The cities adding the most spending by 2036 make a different list, led by Jakarta at $14bn, Beijing at $13bn and New Delhi at $11bn.
Yes, every market and city splits the category into five age bands and five spending tiers. Sizing the cohort you target means filtering those same figures, with nothing extra to commission. Rome has the oldest profile, with 21% of its spending from the over-65s. San Francisco is the most affluent, with 96% from its richest spending tier.
We forecast every country, subcategory and cohort each year to 2050, and every city to 2040. Because one model produces all of them, a market and a city read on the same scale. The method is published and peer reviewed. Our page on how we measure spending sets it out. The average person spends $228 a year on education today.
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How education data can help your planning
Out-of-pocket education spending is USD 1.86T in 2026 and grows by USD 1.30T by 2036. Get the deck on where that money goes, who pays it, and what it buys - 194 countries and 9,400+ cities, with national forecasts to 2050 and city forecasts to 2040.
- Market sizing: USD 1.86T out of pocket in 2026, +USD 1.30T by 2036, USD 228 a head
- School vs university vs courses: university leads in 140 of 194 markets, school in 35, training in 19
- Who can pay: USD 2,999 a year per primary-school child for Rich households, USD 24 for Vulnerable & Poor households
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