Category
Communications
Built for telecoms teams deciding where handset spending is still growing, where it has moved to services, and which markets are worth the next round of investment.
COICOP 8
Start the shortlist where the category is bought.
Every country to 2050, all 9,400+ cities to 2040. One model, one shared scale for a market and a city.
The category down to its 3 lines. Each with its own size, growth and cohort, never one blended average.
Every figure by age band and spending tier. A target cohort is only a filter on the same numbers.
Priced against what each market can afford. The share of a city that can buy at your price, and when.
USD 2.00T
Spending in 2026
USD 3.00T
Spending in 2036
+USD 1.00T
Added by 2036
4.14%
Annual growth to 2036
USD 245
Per person a year
2.8%
Share of the global wallet
nominal USD, current prices
Where the category is bought
See the data
| City | Country | 2026 (USD bn) | 2036 (USD bn) | Annual growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo | Japan | 39.6 | 48.3 | 2.02 |
| New York City | United States | 26.4 | 34.0 | 2.57 |
| Los Angeles | United States | 22.2 | 31.0 | 3.38 |
| Seoul | South Korea | 20.4 | 22.3 | 0.93 |
| San Francisco | United States | 14.2 | 19.5 | 3.23 |
| Osaka | Japan | 13.7 | 15.8 | 1.49 |
| Sao Paulo | Brazil | 11.7 | 16.7 | 3.60 |
| Shanghai | China | 10.9 | 14.2 | 2.66 |
| Miami | United States | 9.9 | 13.4 | 3.06 |
| Taipei | Taiwan | 9.9 | 12.7 | 2.51 |
| Moscow | Russia | 9.4 | 11.3 | 1.80 |
| Paris | France | 9.3 | 11.7 | 2.30 |
| Beijing | China | 8.8 | 14.2 | 4.92 |
| Nagoya | Japan | 8.7 | 10.4 | 1.79 |
| Riyadh | Saudi Arabia | 8.4 | 13.5 | 4.83 |
| Chicago | United States | 8.4 | 10.5 | 2.23 |
| Kuala Lumpur | Malaysia | 8.3 | 15.6 | 6.47 |
| London | United Kingdom | 7.9 | 11.3 | 3.65 |
| Dubai | United Arab Emirates | 6.8 | 13.3 | 6.91 |
| Washington | United States | 6.7 | 9.3 | 3.28 |
Time entry to the year a city reaches your price.
Annual consumer spending on information and communication, 2000 to 2040.
- Tokyo: USD 40bn in 2026
- New York City: USD 26bn in 2026
- Los Angeles: USD 22bn in 2026
- Seoul: USD 20bn in 2026
- San Francisco: USD 14bn in 2026
See the data
| City | Country code | 2026 (USD bn) |
|---|---|---|
| Tokyo | JPN | 39.6 |
| New York City | USA | 26.4 |
| Los Angeles | USA | 22.2 |
| Seoul | KOR | 20.4 |
| San Francisco | USA | 14.2 |
Aim the range at the cohort that is arriving.
By spending tier
- Rich: 32.7% of spending in 2026, 49.3% of the spending added by 2036
- Upper middle: 15.1% of spending in 2026, 15.8% of the spending added by 2036
- Core middle: 26.1% of spending in 2026, 21.2% of the spending added by 2036
- Lower middle: 21.6% of spending in 2026, 12.3% of the spending added by 2036
- Poor: 4.5% of spending in 2026, 1.4% of the spending added by 2036
By age band
- 65 and over: 19.1% of spending in 2026, 28.3% of the spending added by 2036
- 45-65: 29.1% of spending in 2026, 28.4% of the spending added by 2036
- 30-45: 21.1% of spending in 2026, 16.2% of the spending added by 2036
- 15-30: 17.1% of spending in 2026, 17.5% of the spending added by 2036
- 0-15: 13.6% of spending in 2026, 9.7% of the spending added by 2036
See the data
| Cohort | Dimension | 2026 spending (%) | Added by 2036 (%) | Annual growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poor | Spending tier | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.49 |
| Lower middle | Spending tier | 21.6 | 12.3 | 2.55 |
| Core middle | Spending tier | 26.1 | 21.2 | 3.47 |
| Upper middle | Spending tier | 15.1 | 15.8 | 4.30 |
| Rich | Spending tier | 32.7 | 49.3 | 5.79 |
| 0-15 | Age band | 13.6 | 9.7 | 3.10 |
| 15-30 | Age band | 17.1 | 17.5 | 4.21 |
| 30-45 | Age band | 21.1 | 16.2 | 3.30 |
| 45-65 | Age band | 29.1 | 28.4 | 4.04 |
| 65 and over | Age band | 19.1 | 28.3 | 5.69 |
Weight the portfolio to the lines that are moving.
Area is spending in 2026. USD 2.00T across 3 published lines of the model.
Telephone and telefax service
USD 1.69T · 84.7%
Telephone and telefax equipment
USD 246bn · 12.3%
Postal services
USD 60bn · 3.0%
Telephone and telefax service
USD 1.69T · 84.7%
Telephone and telefax equipment
USD 246bn · 12.3%
Postal services
USD 60bn · 3.0%
See the data
| Category line | 2026 (USD bn) | Share of plotted spending (%) | Annual growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telephone and telefax service | 1691.0 | 84.7 | 4.21 |
| Telephone and telefax equipment | 246.3 | 12.3 | 3.81 |
| Postal services | 59.5 | 3.0 | 3.29 |
Five decisions a telecoms team can settle with this data.
01
Market entry and prioritisation
The cities holding the most communication spending today are not the ones adding it fastest. Across the forty largest markets in the model the spread runs from 0.9% a year to 10.9%, which is the difference between a market that transforms by 2036 and one that barely moves. We rank every city on the spending that is forming rather than the spending already there.
02
Pricing and affordability
Spending on information and communication by rich consumers compounds at 5.79% a year, against 1.49% for the poorest. A cheaper range can hold its volume and still be defending a shrinking share of the growth, because the growth is not sitting where the volume is. We map spending power against your own price range in every market you sell in.
03
Category and portfolio strategy
Inside the category, telephone and telefax service compounds at 4.21% a year while postal services manages 3.29%. Those are two different shelf decisions inside one category averaging 4.14%, and the average is what most portfolio reviews are still built on.
04
Segmentation and targeting
Spending on information and communication by the over-65s compounds at 5.69% a year, against 3.10% for the under-15s. In Tokyo the over-65s already hold 25% of the category. A pipeline aimed at the wrong life stage is chasing the slower half of the market, and the gap widens every year to 2036.
05
Demand forecasting and sizing
The category adds $1.00 trillion between 2026 and 2036, and none of it arrives evenly. A capacity decision taken now rests on the market that will exist in ten years rather than the one visible today. We project every market and every year to 2050.
Related categories
Explore adjacent spending
FAQ
Questions a telecoms team asks us.
Consumers spend $2.00 trillion on information and communication in 2026, which is 2.8% of all their spending. The market grows 4.14% a year in current dollars and reaches $3.00 trillion by 2036. Between those two years it adds $1.00 trillion.
The fastest-growing subcategory is telephone and telefax service at 4.21% a year and the slowest is postal services at 3.29%. The category as a whole grows 4.14% a year. The largest subcategory is also telephone and telefax service, at $1.69 trillion, with telephone and telefax equipment next at $246bn.
Tokyo spends the most at $40bn a year, followed by New York City at $26bn and Los Angeles at $22bn. We estimate the category for all 9,400+ cities in every year to 2040. The top ten of the 255 cities on this page's map hold 27% of the spending it shows.
Among the largest city markets, New Delhi grows fastest at 10.9% a year and Seoul slowest at 0.9%. The cities adding the most spending by 2036 make a different list, led by Los Angeles at $8.8bn, Tokyo at $8.8bn and Jakarta at $8.2bn.
Yes, every market and city splits the category into five age bands and five spending tiers. Sizing the cohort you target means filtering those same figures, with nothing extra to commission. Kitakyushu has the oldest profile, with 33% of its spending from the over-65s. San Francisco is the most affluent, with 96% from its richest spending tier.
We forecast every country, subcategory and cohort each year to 2050, and every city to 2040. Because one model produces all of them, a market and a city read on the same scale. The method is published and peer reviewed. Our page on how we measure spending sets it out. The average person spends $245 a year on information and communication today.
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Communications
A concise slide deck of the key communications spending trends across 194 countries and 9,400+ cities, with national forecasts to 2050 and city forecasts to 2040.
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